Lorenzo Musetti vs Corentin MoutetVienna Quarter-final

Vienna · ATP · Quarter-final
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#39ATP
1745ELO
1727Hard ELO
$731kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLL
Musetti L.
6-3 6-4
Moutet C.
Musetti L.
662
Moutet C.
340

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Corentin Moutet 6-3 6-4 in the Vienna quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's semi-final. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13BarcelonaR16clayLorenzo Musetti6-3 6-4
2025-02-10Buenos AiresR16clayLorenzo Musetti6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Moutet C.

Moutet C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve advantage — Musetti L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Musetti L.Moutet C.
54
Serve
7
62
Return
68

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 84). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
82
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Slight edge
82
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+77 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1727
7.0Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
6.4
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
3.8
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Moutet C.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
10°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 61%