Lorenzo Musetti vs Corentin MoutetBuenos Aires Round of 16

Buenos Aires · ATP · Round of 16
#15ATP
1869ELO
1853Clay ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 February 2025
clay
#39ATP
1745ELO
1692Clay ELO
$731kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLL
Musetti L.
6-2 6-3
Moutet C.
Musetti L.
662
Moutet C.
230

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Corentin Moutet 6-2 6-3 in the Buenos Aires round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Lorenzo Musetti extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13BarcelonaR16clayLorenzo Musetti6-3 6-4
2025-10-20ViennaQFhardLorenzo Musetti6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Moutet C.

Moutet C.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Musetti L.Moutet C.
35
Serve
Return
61

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 84). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
82
Break points saved·Even
98
97
Break points won·Slight edge
82
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
7.6+161 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Clay Elo 1692
7.0Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.4
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Moutet C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 51%