Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Mackenzie McdonaldVienna Qualifying Round 2

Vienna · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Kovacevic A.
2-6 6-1 6-2
Mcdonald M.
Kovacevic A.
2662
Mcdonald M.
6121

Aleksandar Kovacevic defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 2-6 6-1 6-2 in the Vienna qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Aleksandar Kovacevic came in ranked #70. Aleksandar Kovacevic extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16Queen's ClubQ1grassMackenzie Mcdonald6-2 7-6(6)
2022-09-26SeoulQFhardAleksandar Kovacevic4-6 6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kovacevic A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kovacevic A.Mcdonald M.
52
Serve
25
0
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.6
5.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
53
56
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Dominant
4
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
81
45
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
61
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7+7 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.3Hard Elo 1604
4.7Overall Elo 1636
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1606
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.9
Surface form
5.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
4.4
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
87

Kovacevic A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Mcdonald M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
10°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 61%