Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Aleksandar KovacevicQueen's Club Qualifying Round 1

Queen's Club · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
#140ATP
1606ELO
1541Grass ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 June 2025
grass
#70ATP
1636ELO
1477Grass ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Mcdonald M.
6-2 7-6
Kovacevic A.
Mcdonald M.
6782
Kovacevic A.
2660

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-2 7-6 in the Queen's Club qualifying round 1 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Aleksandar Kovacevic came in ranked #70, leading the head-to-head 2–0, but Mackenzie Mcdonald had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Mackenzie Mcdonald claimed a first win over Aleksandar Kovacevic in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20ViennaQ2hardAleksandar Kovacevic2-6 6-1 6-2
2022-09-26SeoulQFhardAleksandar Kovacevic4-6 6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Kovacevic A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.0
8.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 94). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
56
53
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Dominant
66
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
44
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+64 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Grass Elo 1477
5.3Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1636
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.9
Surface form
3.8
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.4
Minutes 14d
9.2
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.4
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
97

Mcdonald M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Kovacevic A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 43%