Denis Shapovalov vs Marcos GironBasel Round of 32

Basel · ATP · Round of 32
#39ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#87ATP
1718ELO
1704Hard ELO
$495kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
32 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWL
Shapovalov D.
6-7 6-0 7-6
Giron M.
Shapovalov D.
636772
Giron M.
770641

Denis Shapovalov defeated Marcos Giron 6-7 6-0 7-6 in the Basel round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #39, defending last year's quarter-final. Denis Shapovalov narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersR64clayMarcos Giron6-3 7-6(5)
2025-02-24AcapulcoQFhardDenis Shapovalov4-6 6-3 6-2
2025-01-06AdelaideR16hardMarcos Giron7-5 6-2
2024-04-01HoustonR32clayMarcos Giron6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Giron M.

Giron M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Giron M.
21
Serve
29
63
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
59%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.6
5.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 74). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
85
62
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
71
42
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
56
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+71 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1704
5.3Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1718
5.4
H2H
4.6
5.2
Surface form
3.3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
7.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
89

Shapovalov D.: 15 days rest · Giron M.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast