Marcos Giron vs Denis ShapovalovAdelaide Round of 16

Adelaide · ATP · Round of 16
#92ATP
1718ELO
1704Hard ELO
$495kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
32 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 January 2025
hard
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Giron M.
7-5 6-2
Shapovalov D.
Giron M.
762
Shapovalov D.
520

Marcos Giron defeated Denis Shapovalov 7-5 6-2 in the Adelaide round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #41, but Marcos Giron had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Marcos Giron extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Marcos Giron closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20BaselR32hardDenis Shapovalov6-7(3) 6-0 7-6(4)
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersR64clayMarcos Giron6-3 7-6(5)
2025-02-24AcapulcoQFhardDenis Shapovalov4-6 6-3 6-2
2024-04-01HoustonR32clayMarcos Giron6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Giron M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Shapovalov D.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Giron M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Giron M.Shapovalov D.
29
Serve
25
45
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
7.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (74 vs 62). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
62
85
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
42
71
Deciding sets·Dominant
56
92
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1704
Surface ELO
5.7+71 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1771
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
7.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.4
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
98

Giron M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d) · Shapovalov D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 58%