Matteo Berrettini vs Alexei PopyrinVienna Round of 32

Vienna · ATP · Round of 32
#51ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Berrettini M.
7-6 6-3
Popyrin A.
Berrettini M.
7762
Popyrin A.
6530

Matteo Berrettini defeated Alexei Popyrin 7-6 6-3 in the Vienna round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #51, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Matteo Berrettini extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-28Paris MastersR64hardAlexei Popyrin7-5 7-6(2)
2021-10-25ViennaR32hardMatteo Berrettini7-6(3) 6-3
2019-08-26US OpenR32hardMatteo Berrettini6-4 6-4 6-7(3) 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Berrettini M.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Berrettini M.Popyrin A.
57
Serve
40
10
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
34%
Break points saved·Even
67%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.8
9.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (55 vs 54). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
81
59
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
53
6
Deciding sets·Clear edge
91
75
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+117 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1681
6.3Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1741
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.6
Surface form
4.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
8.6
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
73
97

Berrettini M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 49 games (7d) · Popyrin A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
10°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 61%