Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettini — Paris Masters Round of 64

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Alexei Popyrin
AUS
Alexei Popyrin
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 October 2024
hard
Matteo Berrettini
ITA
Matteo Berrettini
#51ATP
1831ELO
1797Hard ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Popyrin A.
7-5 7-6
Berrettini M.
Popyrin A.
7772
Berrettini M.
5620

Alexei Popyrin defeated Matteo Berrettini 7-5 7-6 in the Paris Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Berrettini came in ranked #51, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Alexei Popyrin claimed a first win over Matteo Berrettini in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20ViennaR32hardMatteo Berrettini7-6(5) 6-3
2021-10-25ViennaR32hardMatteo Berrettini7-6(3) 6-3
2019-08-26US OpenR32hardMatteo Berrettini6-4 6-4 6-7(3) 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Popyrin A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Berrettini M.

Berrettini M.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Popyrin A.Berrettini M.
40
Serve
57
11
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Popyrin A.Berrettini M.
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
67%
Aces / match·Even
9.7
9.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (106 vs 105). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Popyrin A.Berrettini M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
81
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
6
53
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Popyrin A.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Berrettini M.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1681
Surface ELO
6.5+117 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1831
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
6.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
4.5
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Popyrin A.Berrettini M.
Freshness·Clear edge
97
73

Popyrin A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Berrettini M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
14°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 92%
Final
Zverev A.[3]
Humbert U.[15]
6-26-2
Semi-finals
Humbert U.[15]
Khachanov K.
6-766-46-3
Zverev A.[3]
Rune H.[13]
6-37-64
Quarter-finals
Rune H.[13]
De Minaur A.[9]
6-44-67-5
Khachanov K.
Dimitrov G.[8]
6-26-3
Zverev A.[3]
Tsitsipas S.[10]
7-56-4
Humbert U.[15]
Thompson J.
6-27-64
R16
Humbert U.[15]
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-13-67-5
Rune H.[13]
Cazaux A.
3-66-36-4
De Minaur A.[9]
Draper J.
5-76-26-3
Zverev A.[3]
Fils A.
6-43-66-3
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Cerundolo F.
6-716-46-2
Dimitrov G.[8]
Rinderknech A.
6-24-67-65
Khachanov K.
Popyrin A.
7-656-4
Thompson J.
Mannarino A.
7-57-65
R32
Fils A.
Struff J.
6-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Tabilo A.
6-36-4
Thompson J.
Ruud C.[7]
7-633-66-4
Rinderknech A.
Michelsen A.
7-667-67
Draper J.
Fritz T.[5]
7-664-66-4
Zverev A.[3]
Griekspoor T.
7-626-3
Cerundolo F.
Rublev A.[6]
7-667-65
Dimitrov G.[8]
Etcheverry T.
6-796-37-5
Khachanov K.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-7126-16-4
De Minaur A.[9]
Kecmanovic M.
6-47-65
Mannarino A.
Bergs Z.
3-66-26-4
Humbert U.[15]
Giron M.
6-36-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Jarry N.
7-56-1
Popyrin A.
Medvedev D.[4]
6-42-67-64
Cazaux A.
Shelton B.
6-37-64
Rune H.[13]
Bublik A.
6-46-2
R64
De Minaur A.[9]
Navone M.
7-56-1
Struff J.
Musetti L.[16]
6-46-2
Etcheverry T.
Zhang Z.
6-37-66
Khachanov K.
Oconnell C.
6-43-67-66
Giron M.
Shang J.
7-667-66
Rinderknech A.
Machac T.
6-735-3
Michelsen A.
Hurkacz H.[12]
6-16-3
Tabilo A.
Borges N.
3-67-656-3
Draper J.
Lehecka J.
7-56-2
Fils A.
Cilic M.
7-656-4
Kecmanovic M.
Baez S.
6-46-767-5
Griekspoor T.
Darderi L.
6-36-4
Bublik A.
Fognini F.
7-57-5
Rune H.[13]
Arnaldi M.
6-46-4
Thompson J.
Martinez P.
6-46-4
Bergs Z.
Gasquet R.
6-36-4
Mannarino A.
Paul T.[11]
6-37-5
Humbert U.[15]
Nakashima B.
6-34-66-4
Jarry N.
Sonego L.
7-646-3
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Tiafoe F.[14]
6-757-646-3
Cerundolo F.
Halys Q.
7-656-3
Shelton B.
Moutet C.
6-36-786-3
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Carballes Baena R.
4-66-36-3
Popyrin A.
Berrettini M.
7-57-62