Matteo Arnaldi vs Jesper De JongVienna Qualifying Round 1

Vienna · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#35ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#73ATP
1711ELO
1607Hard ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
Arnaldi M.
6-4 7-6
De Jong J.
Arnaldi M.
6772
De Jong J.
465

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Jesper De Jong 6-4 7-6 in the Vienna qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #35, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Matteo Arnaldi extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20ViennaQ1hardMatteo Arnaldi6-4 7-6(5)
2023-07-24UmagR32clayMatteo Arnaldi6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs De Jong J.

De Jong J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve advantage — De Jong J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arnaldi M.De Jong J.
23
Serve
23
22
Return
17

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
6.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.5
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (60 vs 83). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
90
Break points won·Clear edge
51
37
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
90

Arnaldi M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · De Jong J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast