Matteo Arnaldi vs Jesper De JongUmag Round of 32

Umag · ATP · Round of 32
#34ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 July 2023
clay
#73ATP
1711ELO
1696Clay ELO
$612kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWWWL
Arnaldi M.
6-3 6-2
De Jong J.
Arnaldi M.
662
De Jong J.
320

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Jesper De Jong 6-3 6-2 in the Umag round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #34, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Matteo Arnaldi extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20ViennaQ1hardMatteo Arnaldi6-4 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs De Jong J.

De Jong J.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve advantage — De Jong J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Arnaldi M.De Jong J.
Serve
49
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
59%
Aces / match·Even
5.8
5.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (194 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
56
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
90
Break points won·Clear edge
51
37
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+135 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 1696
6.2Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1711
5.4
H2H
4.6
7.1
Surface form
6.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
8.6
4.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
92

Arnaldi M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · De Jong J.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast