Daniil Medvedev vs Adam WaltonAlmaty Round of 16

Almaty · ATP · Round of 16
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#85ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWWWL
Medvedev D.
7-5 7-6
Walton A.
Medvedev D.
7772
Walton A.
5600

Daniil Medvedev defeated Adam Walton 7-5 7-6 in the Almaty round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9. Daniil Medvedev claimed a first win over Adam Walton in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayAdam Walton6-2 1-6 6-1 1-6 6-4
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersR64hardAdam Walton6-7(0) 6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Walton A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Walton A.
47
Serve
35
94
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.9
6.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 108). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
66
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
95
Break points won·Dominant
99
20
Deciding sets·Even
99
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.3+293 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.7Hard Elo 1669
9.1Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
0.9Overall Elo 1703
0.0
H2H
10.0
8.0
Surface form
3.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.9
Minutes 14d
6.6
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
85
57

Medvedev D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Walton A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast