Adam Walton vs Daniil MedvedevCincinnati Masters Round of 64

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#85ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Walton A.
6-7 6-4 6-1
Medvedev D.
Walton A.
60662
Medvedev D.
77411

Adam Walton defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-7 6-4 6-1 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, defending last year's round of 32. Adam Walton extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayAdam Walton6-2 1-6 6-1 1-6 6-4
2025-10-13AlmatyR16hardDaniil Medvedev7-5 7-6(0)

Serve vs return

This season
Walton A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Medvedev D.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Walton A.Medvedev D.
35
Serve
47
27
Return
94

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.8
7.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (108 vs 90). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
66
96
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
100
Break points won·Dominant
20
99
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
73
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.7Hard Elo 1669
Surface ELO
9.3+293 Hard Elo edge
0.9Overall Elo 1703
ELO gap
9.1Overall Elo 1977
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.5
Surface form
6.3
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
7.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
6.3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
57
85

Walton A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d) · Medvedev D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%