Sebastian Korda vs Alexei PopyrinStockholm Round of 32

Stockholm · ATP · Round of 32
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Korda S.
6-7 6-1 6-3
Popyrin A.
Korda S.
64662
Popyrin A.
77131

Sebastian Korda defeated Alexei Popyrin 6-7 6-1 6-3 in the Stockholm round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Korda came in ranked #63, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Sebastian Korda extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-02AthensR32hardSebastian Korda4-6 6-3 6-4
2024-08-05Canada MastersSFhardAlexei Popyrin7-6(0) 6-3
2023-09-25AstanaR32hardSebastian Korda7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Popyrin A.
61
Serve
40
58
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
9.0
9.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (63 vs 54). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
59
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
73
6
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
75
Tiebreaks·Even
94
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 67 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
7.6+85 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Hard Elo 1681
7.4Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1741
4.6
H2H
5.4
5.5
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Popyrin A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
7°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 70%