Leylah Fernandez vs Rebecca SramkovaOsaka Quarter-final

Osaka · WTA · Quarter-final
#24WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#139WTA
1654ELO
1629Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWLL
Fernandez L.
7-6 6-3
Sramkova R.
Fernandez L.
7762
Sramkova R.
6230

Leylah Fernandez defeated Rebecca Sramkova 7-6 6-3 in the Osaka quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Leylah Fernandez came in ranked #24. Leylah Fernandez claimed a first win over Rebecca Sramkova in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-18MonterreyR16hardRebecca Sramkova2-6 6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Fernandez L.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Sramkova R.

Sramkova R.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Serve advantage — Fernandez L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fernandez L.Sramkova R.
60
Serve
17
27
Return
33

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
87
73
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
87
Break points won·Slight edge
95
84
Deciding sets·Even
90
86
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
51

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+156 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Hard Elo 1629
7.3Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1654
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.5
Surface form
4.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
7.6
7.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
100

Fernandez L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sramkova R.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast