Rebecca Sramkova vs Leylah FernandezMonterrey Round of 16

Monterrey · WTA · Round of 16
#139WTA
1654ELO
1629Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 18 August 2025
hard
#24WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Sramkova R.
2-6 6-3 6-2
Fernandez L.
Sramkova R.
2662
Fernandez L.
6321

Rebecca Sramkova defeated Leylah Fernandez 2-6 6-3 6-2 in the Monterrey round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Leylah Fernandez came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Rebecca Sramkova claimed a first win over Leylah Fernandez in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13OsakaQFhardLeylah Fernandez7-6(2) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sramkova R.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Sramkova R.

Serve advantage — Fernandez L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sramkova R.Fernandez L.
17
Serve
60
33
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
73
87
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
95
Break points won·Slight edge
84
95
Deciding sets·Even
86
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
51
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Hard Elo 1629
Surface ELO
7.1+156 Hard Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1654
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1805
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.9
Surface form
5.8
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
98

Sramkova R.: 18 days rest · Fernandez L.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
33°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 43%