Casper Ruud vs Marin CilicStockholm Round of 16

Stockholm · ATP · Round of 16
#12ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#62ATP
1800ELO
1762Hard ELO
$776kYTD
$33MCAREER
37 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
Ruud C.
7-6 6-4
Cilic M.
Ruud C.
7762
Cilic M.
6240

Casper Ruud defeated Marin Cilic 7-6 6-4 in the Stockholm round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Casper Ruud extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR32hardCasper Ruud6-4 6-4 3-6 7-5
2022-05-23Roland GarrosSFclayCasper Ruud3-6 6-4 6-2 6-2
2021-08-09Canada MastersR32hardCasper Ruud6-3 3-6 6-3
2020-09-14Rome MastersR16clayCasper Ruud6-2 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Ruud C.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Cilic M.

Cilic M.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ruud C.Cilic M.
59
Serve
57
31
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
68%
70%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
9.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
91
76
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
75
41
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+127 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1762
6.5Overall Elo 1983
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1800
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
3.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
8.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
98

Ruud C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cilic M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
7°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 70%