Katie Volynets vs Kimberly BirrellOsaka Qualifying Round 2

Osaka · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#93WTA
1786ELO
1736Hard ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#65WTA
1754ELO
1752Hard ELO
28 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
Volynets K.
6-4 6-3
Birrell K.
Volynets K.
662
Birrell K.
43

Katie Volynets defeated Kimberly Birrell 6-4 6-3 in the Osaka qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Kimberly Birrell came in ranked #65, but Katie Volynets had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Katie Volynets extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-14NottinghamFgrassKatie Volynets2-6 6-4 7.7-6.3

Serve vs return

This season
Volynets K.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Birrell K.

Birrell K.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Volynets K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Volynets K.Birrell K.
8
Serve
22
49
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
78%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.2
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.1
5.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 88). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
67
65
Break points saved·Even
75
77
Break points won·Clear edge
97
83
Deciding sets·Slight edge
70
65
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
55
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1736
Surface ELO
5.6+16 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1786
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1754
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.2
Surface form
3.0
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
56
95

Volynets K.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 105 games (7d) · Birrell K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast