Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McnallyWuhan Qualifying Round 1

Wuhan · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#36WTA
1846ELO
1807Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$17MCAREER
30 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
hard
#50WTA
1817ELO
1731Hard ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
Siniakova K.
7-5 6-3
Mcnally C.
Siniakova K.
762
Mcnally C.
53

Katerina Siniakova defeated Caty Mcnally 7-5 6-3 in the Wuhan qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Katerina Siniakova came in ranked #36. Katerina Siniakova claimed a first win over Caty Mcnally in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridR32clayCaty Mcnally6-3 2-6 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Siniakova K.serving52% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Mcnally C.

Mcnally C.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Siniakova K.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Siniakova K.Mcnally C.
21
Serve
26
64
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.8
1.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (72 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
62
73
Break points saved·Even
75
73
Break points won·Slight edge
94
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
74
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
90
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+76 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1731
5.7Overall Elo 1846
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1817
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
5.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
7.5
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
96

Siniakova K.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mcnally C.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast