Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Pavel Kotov — Jinan CH Round of 16

Jinan CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
USA
Mackenzie Mcdonald
[6]
#126ATP
1636ELO
1619Hard ELO
$202kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
hard
RUS
Pavel Kotov
#255ATP
1652ELO
1629Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWWWWWW

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mcdonald M.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Kotov P.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1619
Surface ELO
5.1+9 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1636
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1652
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.5
Surface form
2.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 8
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Mcdonald M.
762
Kotov P.
520

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-19Miami MastersQ2hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-2 6-2

Statistics

Recent form
Mcdonald M.Kotov P.
64%1st serve in64%
64%1st serve points won+14%78%
54%2nd serve points won+1%53%
60%Service points won+9%69%
36%Return points won+2%38%
57%Break points saved+4%61%
4.1Aces / match+2.97
1.9Double faults / match+0.21.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Cazaux A.[1]
Mcdonald M.[6]
6-36-2
Semi-finals
Cazaux A.[1]
Mochizuki S.[7]
6-16-2
Mcdonald M.[6]
Bar Biryukov P.
6-26-3
Quarter-finals
Bar Biryukov P.
Smith C.
6-47-64
Mochizuki S.[7]
Tomic B.
6-16-4
Cazaux A.[1]
Zhou Y.
6-43-66-0
Mcdonald M.[6]
Holt B.
6-34-67-67
R16
Zhou Y.
Hijikata R.
7-53-66-4
Tomic B.
Harris B.
6-46-746-2
Smith C.
Droguet T.
6-13-67-5
Holt B.
Walton A.[2]
6-46-3
Mcdonald M.[6]
Kotov P.
7-56-2
Bar Biryukov P.
Wong C.
6-46-757-65
Mochizuki S.[7]
Jacquet K.
6-36-2
Cazaux A.[1]
Draxl L.
6-27-63
R32
Cazaux A.[1]
Blanchet U.
6-36-4
Hijikata R.
Yevseyev D.
6-46-2
Zhou Y.
Schoolkate T.[5]
7-626-4
Tomic B.
Svrcina D.[4]
6-10-66-2
Draxl L.
Oconnell C.
4-61-1
Harris B.
Watanuki Y.
1-66-36-2
Mcdonald M.[6]
Mayot H.
6-37-62
Bar Biryukov P.
Daniel T.
7-654-66-3
Jacquet K.
Samrej K.
7-56-2
Mochizuki S.[7]
Mccabe J.
6-36-4
Droguet T.
Cui J.
6-46-1
Wong C.
Djere L.[3]
7-6106-2
Walton A.[2]
Sun F.
3-67-56-4
Smith C.
Duckworth J.[8]
6-47-66
Holt B.
Zhukov M.
3-66-46-3
Kotov P.
Holmgren A.
6-36-4