Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Pavel Kotov — Miami Masters Qualifying Round 2

Miami Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
Mackenzie Mcdonald
USA15
Mackenzie Mcdonald
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 19 March 2025
hard
Pavel Kotov
RUS12
Pavel Kotov
#249ATP
1597ELO
1601Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
Mcdonald M.
6-2 6-2
Kotov P.
Mcdonald M.
662
Kotov P.
220

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Pavel Kotov 6-2 6-2 in the Miami Masters qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #145.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Kotov P.

Kotov P.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Kotov P.
25
Serve
—
10
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Mcdonald M.Kotov P.
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.0
5.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 59). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mcdonald M.Kotov P.
Clutch Rating·Even
56
59
Break points saved·Even
96
94
Break points won·Dominant
66
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
82
Tiebreaks·Dominant
44
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mcdonald M.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Kotov P.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9+3 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.1Hard Elo 1601
4.9Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1597
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
3.3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
6.6
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.0
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mcdonald M.Kotov P.
Freshness·
87
—

Mcdonald M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%
Q2
Quinn E.
Ugo Carabelli C.[1]
7-623-66-2
Harris B.[13]
Gaston H.[7]
7-56-2
Oconnell C.[4]
Trungelliti M.
6-26-3
Comesana F.[2]
Mochizuki S.
7-647-5
Tirante T.
Shevchenko A.[10]
6-36-3
Sakamoto R.
Duckworth J.[9]
7-57-65
Tseng C.[11]
Blanch D.
6-41-67-64
Schoolkate T.[24]
Walton A.[8]
6-36-4
Fearnley J.[5]
Boyer T.[20]
6-26-4
Blockx A.
Atmane T.
6-46-4
Mcdonald M.[15]
Kotov P.[12]
6-26-2
Holt B.[17]
Diallo G.[6]
6-42-67-5
Q1
Mochizuki S.
Hanfmann Y.[16]
7-656-4
Schoolkate T.[24]
Napolitano S.
6-36-756-1
Diallo G.[6]
Watanuki Y.
6-16-736-3
Sakamoto R.
Majchrzak K.[22]
6-46-756-2
Tseng C.[11]
Moro Canas A.
7-666-2
Fearnley J.[5]
Boogaard T.
6-46-3
Trungelliti M.
Ritschard A.[21]
6-45-76-3
Atmane T.
Nardi L.[3]
6-37-64
Oconnell C.[4]
Draxl L.
7-56-0
Ugo Carabelli C.[1]
Krueger M.
6-23-66-3
Blanch D.
Daniel T.[19]
6-786-06-3
Walton A.[8]
Kukushkin M.
6-16-4
Harris B.[13]
Ymer M.
6-767-656-3
Quinn E.
Mannarino A.[23]
3-66-46-2
Mcdonald M.[15]
Basilashvili N.
6-16-743-2
Blockx A.
Virtanen O.[18]
3-66-46-3
Duckworth J.[9]
Gomez F.
7-57-5
Kotov P.[12]
Galarneau A.
4-66-26-1
Gaston H.[7]
Habib H.
6-26-4
Comesana F.[2]
Mmoh M.
6-36-4
Shevchenko A.[10]
Klein L.
6-37-65
Holt B.[17]
Damm M.
4-66-26-2
Tirante T.
Lajovic D.[14]
6-46-3
Boyer T.[20]
Uchiyama Y.
6-36-726-1