Arthur Cazaux vs Shintaro MochizukiJinan CH Semi-final

Jinan CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#78ATP
1793ELO
1738Hard ELO
$46kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 October 2025
hard
#151ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Cazaux A.
6-1 6-2
Mochizuki S.
Cazaux A.
662
Mochizuki S.
120

Arthur Cazaux defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-1 6-2 in the Jinan CH semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Arthur Cazaux came in ranked #78. Arthur Cazaux claimed a first win over Shintaro Mochizuki in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13AlmatyR32hardShintaro Mochizuki6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Cazaux A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Mochizuki S.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Cazaux A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cazaux A.Mochizuki S.
40
Serve
19
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.4
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (59 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
65
52
Break points saved·Clear edge
97
74
Break points won·Dominant
27
55
Deciding sets·Dominant
87
46
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
70
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.7+312 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Hard Elo 1425
8.6Overall Elo 1793
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1475
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
4.1
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
1.2
Minutes 14d
8.1
0.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
73

Mochizuki S.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast