Shintaro Mochizuki vs Arthur CazauxAlmaty Round of 32

Almaty · ATP · Round of 32
#151ATP
1475ELO
1425Hard ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#78ATP
1793ELO
1738Hard ELO
$46kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
Mochizuki S.
6-4 6-4
Cazaux A.
Mochizuki S.
662
Cazaux A.
440

Shintaro Mochizuki defeated Arthur Cazaux 6-4 6-4 in the Almaty round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Arthur Cazaux came in ranked #78.

Key context

  • Match story: Shintaro Mochizuki edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Mochizuki S.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Cazaux A.

Cazaux A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mochizuki S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mochizuki S.Cazaux A.
Serve
40
Return
19

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.2
8.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 59). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
52
65
Break points saved·Clear edge
74
97
Break points won·Dominant
55
27
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
87
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
80
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
8.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.3Hard Elo 1425
Surface ELO
8.7+312 Hard Elo edge
1.4Overall Elo 1475
ELO gap
8.6Overall Elo 1793
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
5.3
Surface form
9.2
0.0
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
1.3
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
66

Mochizuki S.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast