Casper Ruud vs Aleksandar VukicTokyo Quarter-final

Tokyo · ATP · Quarter-final
#12ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 24 September 2025
hard
#104ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
Ruud C.
6-3 6-2
Vukic A.
Ruud C.
662
Vukic A.
320

Casper Ruud defeated Aleksandar Vukic 6-3 6-2 in the Tokyo quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, defending last year's round of 32. Casper Ruud claimed a first win over Aleksandar Vukic in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR64hardAleksandar Vukic6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Ruud C.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Vukic A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ruud C.Vukic A.
59
Serve
21
31
Return
7

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
33%
Break points saved·Even
67%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.1
8.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 84). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
58
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
75
16
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
72
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
97
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+291 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Hard Elo 1597
9.2Overall Elo 1983
ELO gap
0.8Overall Elo 1630
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.4
Surface form
4.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
7.7
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
87

Ruud C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Vukic A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%