Aleksandar Vukic vs Casper RuudShanghai Masters Round of 64

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#104ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 2 October 2024
hard
#12ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Vukic A.
6-4 6-4
Ruud C.
Vukic A.
662
Ruud C.
440

Aleksandar Vukic defeated Casper Ruud 6-4 6-4 in the Shanghai Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Aleksandar Vukic claimed a first win over Casper Ruud in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Aleksandar Vukic edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24TokyoQFhardCasper Ruud6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Vukic A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Vukic A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Vukic A.Ruud C.
21
Serve
59
7
Return
31

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
67%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.5
6.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (156 vs 146). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
91
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Dominant
16
75
Deciding sets·Dominant
72
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
80
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.5Hard Elo 1597
Surface ELO
8.5+291 Hard Elo edge
0.8Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
9.2Overall Elo 1983
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.3
Surface form
3.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
5.8
Minutes 14d
7.9
4.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
97

Vukic A.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Ruud C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 50%