Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Gauthier OnclinJingshan CH Round of 16

Jingshan CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 September 2025
hard
#178ATP
1567ELO
1552Hard ELO
$99kYTD
$616kCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWWL
Mcdonald M.
7-6 6-4
Onclin G.
Mcdonald M.
7762
Onclin G.
6540

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Gauthier Onclin 7-6 6-4 in the Jingshan CH round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #145. Mackenzie Mcdonald claimed a first win over Gauthier Onclin in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-13Australian OpenQ3hardGauthier Onclin6-7(7) 7-6(5) 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Onclin G.

Onclin G.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Onclin G.
25
Serve
10
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.9
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 68). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
56
46
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
79
Break points won·Dominant
66
17
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
74
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
44
50

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+52 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1552
5.8Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1567
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.7
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
5.1
4.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
89
73

Mcdonald M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Onclin G.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast