Gauthier Onclin vs Mackenzie McdonaldAustralian Open Qualifying Final

Australian Open · ATP · Qualifying Final
#178ATP
1567ELO
1552Hard ELO
$99kYTD
$616kCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025
hard
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Onclin G.
6-7 7-6 6-1
Mcdonald M.
Onclin G.
677762
Mcdonald M.
796511

Gauthier Onclin defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-7 7-6 6-1 in the Australian Open qualifying final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mackenzie Mcdonald came in ranked #145, defending last year's round of 128.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Onclin G.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Onclin G.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Onclin G.Mcdonald M.
Serve
25
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.7
5.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (69 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
46
56
Break points saved·Clear edge
79
96
Break points won·Dominant
17
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
74
45
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
50
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 168 days (−1.5)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1552
Surface ELO
5.8+52 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1567
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1606
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.0
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
68
87

Onclin G.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 59 games (7d) · Mcdonald M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%
Q1
Tirante T.[12]
Rodionov J.
7-654-66-4
Klein L.[28]
Galarneau A.
6-43-67-5
Kachmazov A.
Mochizuki S.[22]
6-37-61
Vallejo A.
Andreev A.
6-46-4
Fucsovics M.[3]
Roca Batalla O.
6-46-4
Neumayer L.
Moller E.
6-756-36-4
Krueger M.
Jianu F.
6-36-4
Ellis B.
Escoffier A.
6-26-1
Tien L.[16]
Barrere G.
4-67-646-1
Spizzirri E.
Blockx A.
3-66-17-5
Kovacevic A.[7]
Collarini A.
7-656-4
Shimabukuro S.
Albot R.
6-26-3
Koepfer D.[1]
Buse I.
2-66-37-65
Ficovich J.
Jubb P.
6-46-4
Boyer T.[26]
Sakamoto R.
6-06-2
Holt B.
Mager G.
7-666-2
Gigante M.[32]
Hardt N.
6-26-2
Passaro F.[5]
Zeppieri G.
6-37-63
Rocha H.
Squire H.
6-36-3
Monteiro T.[6]
Kubler J.
7-647-64
Landaluce M.
Collignon R.[15]
6-36-3
Barranco Cosano J.
Mena F.
6-46-2
Svajda Z.
Couacaud E.
6-36-2
Vacherot V.[31]
Huesler M.
6-36-4
Tseng C.[13]
Arnaboldi F.
6-26-4
Harris B.[19]
Shimizu Y.
6-746-46-4
Faria J.[17]
Brouwer G.
6-46-3
Gojo B.
Skatov T.
6-36-4
Atmane T.
Dellavedova M.
4-66-36-3
Sweeny D.
Herbert P.
7-646-2
Trotter J.
Evans D.
6-43-66-3
Habib H.
Kypson P.
6-47-66
Lajal M.
Kukushkin M.[9]
6-06-2
Svrcina D.
Blanchet U.
3-66-26-3
Taberner C.
Winter E.
6-47-5
Onclin G.
Burruchaga R.
1-66-07-67
Sultanov K.
Galan D.[20]
6-36-727-5
Ajdukovic D.
Gasquet R.[23]
7-646-3
Quinn E.
Hemery C.
6-47-5
Bellucci M.[2]
Marinkov P.
6-36-3
Watanuki Y.
Cerundolo J.[30]
6-37-63
Djere L.[10]
Heide G.
6-36-1
Droguet T.
Choinski J.
6-47-5
Mcdonald M.[25]
Bolt A.
6-26-2
Holmgren A.
Jones H.
7-684-67-68
Moro Canas A.
Varillas J.
6-737-666-4
Dellien H.[18]
Marterer M.
6-36-3
Eubanks C.[4]
Grenier H.
7-617-5
Dougaz A.
De Jong J.[8]
6-756-17-65
Kopriva V.[24]
Lestienne C.
6-34-1
Chidekh C.
Meligeni Alves F.
4-66-10-0
Kym J.[27]
Van Rijthoven T.
6-06-3
Kovalik J.[21]
Tomic B.
6-36-1
Hassan B.
Mejia N.
6-45-76-4
Kasnikowski M.
Gaubas V.
6-777-626-2
Barrios Vera T.
Nava E.
7-607-63
Fonseca J.
Gomez F.[29]
6-46-0
Uchiyama Y.
Mayot H.[11]
6-47-65
Garin C.
Dellien Velasco M.
6-36-1
Basilashvili N.
Hewitt C.
6-16-4
Royer V.
Polmans M.
6-36-0
Wong C.
Popko D.
7-53-67-5
Majchrzak K.[14]
Trungelliti M.
3-67-646-3
Coppejans K.
Martineau M.
2-67-656-1