Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Botic Van De ZandschulpChengdu Round of 32

Chengdu · ATP · Round of 32
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 17 September 2025
hard
#54ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
Mcdonald M.
6-4 3-6 6-3
Van De Zandschulp B.
Mcdonald M.
6362
Van De Zandschulp B.
4631

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the Chengdu round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Botic Van De Zandschulp came in ranked #54. Mackenzie Mcdonald extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-10s HertogenboschR32grassMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 4-6 6-2
2022-01-03MelbourneR16hardBotic Van De Zandschulp6-2 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Van De Zandschulp B.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Van De Zandschulp B.
25
Serve
41
10
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.9
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
77
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Even
66
68
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
78
Tiebreaks·Dominant
44
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 31 days (−0.7)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Hard Elo 1604
Surface ELO
6.2+106 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1743
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.8
Surface form
5.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
87

Mcdonald M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Van De Zandschulp B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast