Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Mackenzie McdonaldMelbourne Round of 16

Melbourne · ATP · Round of 16
#55ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 January 2022
hard
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-2 7-5
Mcdonald M.
Van De Zandschulp B.
672
Mcdonald M.
250

Botic Van De Zandschulp defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-2 7-5 in the Melbourne round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Botic Van De Zandschulp came in ranked #55. Botic Van De Zandschulp claimed a first win over Mackenzie Mcdonald in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-17ChengduR32hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 3-6 6-3
2024-06-10s HertogenboschR32grassMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 4-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Van De Zandschulp B.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Van De Zandschulp B.Mcdonald M.
41
Serve
25
43
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.6
4.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
56
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
68
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
79
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
81
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 56 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.2+106 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1604
6.5Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1606
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
3.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
91

Van De Zandschulp B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mcdonald M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast