Dusan Lajovic vs Pablo Carreno BustaSeville CH Quarter-final

Seville CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#152ATP
1620ELO
1588Clay ELO
$208kYTD
$11MCAREER
36 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 1 September 2025
clay
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Lajovic D.
6-4 3-6 6-3
Carreno Busta P.
Lajovic D.
6362
Carreno Busta P.
4631

Dusan Lajovic defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the Seville CH quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Dusan Lajovic narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Dusan Lajovic closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

24
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-27WimbledonR128grassDusan Lajovic3-6 6-4 RET
2021-07-12HamburgQFclayPablo Carreno Busta7-6(4) 6-3
2020-08-24Cincinnati MastersR64hardPablo Carreno Busta7-5 6-1
2017-03-06Indian Wells MastersR16hardPablo Carreno Busta6-4 7-6(5)
2015-05-17NiceR16clayDusan Lajovic6-3 4-6 7-5
2014-05-11Rome MastersQ2clayPablo Carreno Busta6-2 2-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Lajovic D.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Lajovic D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
56%
59%
Aces / match·Even
3.3
3.2
Double faults / match·Even
1.3
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
60
78
Break points saved·Even
95
97
Break points won·Dominant
36
61
Deciding sets·Slight edge
72
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
61
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Clay Elo 1588
Surface ELO
6.5+179 Clay Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1620
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1801
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.3
Surface form
4.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
92

Lajovic D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast