Pablo Carreno Busta vs Dusan LajovicHamburg Quarter-final

Hamburg · ATP · Quarter-final
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 July 2021
clay
#152ATP
1620ELO
1588Clay ELO
$208kYTD
$11MCAREER
36 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWL
Carreno Busta P.
7-6 6-3
Lajovic D.
Carreno Busta P.
7762
Lajovic D.
6430

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Dusan Lajovic 7-6 6-3 in the Hamburg quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-27WimbledonR128grassDusan Lajovic3-6 6-4 RET
2020-08-24Cincinnati MastersR64hardPablo Carreno Busta7-5 6-1
2017-03-06Indian Wells MastersR16hardPablo Carreno Busta6-4 7-6(5)
2015-05-17NiceR16clayDusan Lajovic6-3 4-6 7-5
2014-05-11Rome MastersQ2clayPablo Carreno Busta6-2 2-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Lajovic D.

Lajovic D.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Even
3.6
3.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
59
Break points saved·Even
97
95
Break points won·Dominant
61
36
Deciding sets·Slight edge
80
69
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
61

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.5+179 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Clay Elo 1588
6.5Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1620
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
3.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
6.4
7.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
75

Carreno Busta P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Lajovic D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 58%