Leylah Fernandez vs Jaqueline CristianMonterrey Round of 32

Monterrey · WTA · Round of 32
#24WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 August 2025
hard
#37WTA
1834ELO
1803Hard ELO
$742kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
Fernandez L.
6-3 7-5
Cristian J.
Fernandez L.
672
Cristian J.
350

Leylah Fernandez defeated Jaqueline Cristian 6-3 7-5 in the Monterrey round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jaqueline Cristian came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Leylah Fernandez claimed a first win over Jaqueline Cristian in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian WellsR64hardJaqueline Cristian5-7 7-6(5) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Fernandez L.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Cristian J.

Cristian J.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fernandez L.Cristian J.
60
Serve
22
27
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
2.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.9
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 77). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
77
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
84
Break points won·Clear edge
95
71
Deciding sets·Even
90
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2Hard Elo 1785
Surface ELO
4.8+19 Hard Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1834
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.8
Surface form
6.8
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
9.3
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Fernandez L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
33°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 43%