Jaqueline Cristian vs Leylah FernandezIndian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
#36WTA
1834ELO
1803Hard ELO
$742kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#25WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Cristian J.
5-7 7-6 6-3
Fernandez L.
Cristian J.
57762
Fernandez L.
76531

Jaqueline Cristian defeated Leylah Fernandez 5-7 7-6 6-3 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Leylah Fernandez came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Jaqueline Cristian claimed a first win over Leylah Fernandez in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-18MonterreyR32hardLeylah Fernandez6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Cristian J.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cristian J.

Serve advantage — Fernandez L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Cristian J.Fernandez L.
22
Serve
60
25
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (77 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
77
87
Break points saved·Slight edge
84
95
Break points won·Clear edge
71
95
Deciding sets·Even
91
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
88
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8+19 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.2Hard Elo 1785
4.5Overall Elo 1834
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1805
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Country comfort
4.7
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
99

Fernandez L.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw