Mariano Navone vs Jan Lennard Struff — Cincinnati Masters Qualifying Round 1

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
Mariano Navone
ARG2
Mariano Navone
#48ATP
1822ELO
1693Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
Jan Lennard Struff
GER
Jan Lennard Struff
#41ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Navone M.
6-7 6-2 6-4
Struff J.
Navone M.
62662
Struff J.
77241

Mariano Navone defeated Jan Lennard Struff 6-7 6-2 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jan Lennard Struff came in ranked #41, defending last year's round of 64.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Navone M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Struff J.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Navone M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Navone M.Struff J.
3
Serve
36
51
Return
41

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Navone M.Struff J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.8
8.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Navone M.Struff J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
61
Break points saved·Clear edge
86
99
Break points won·Dominant
90
21
Deciding sets·Slight edge
77
68
Tiebreaks·Dominant
60
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Navone M.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Struff J.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+59 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1634
5.9Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1694
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.1
Surface form
1.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
4.9
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Navone M.Struff J.
Freshness·Dominant
96
71

Navone M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Struff J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%
Q2
Nava E.[15]
Navone M.[2]
7-56-4
Atmane T.[23]
Tu L.
7-56-3
Blockx A.[18]
Nardi L.[6]
6-46-3
Galan D.[24]
Shevchenko A.[8]
7-664-1
Wong C.
Mochizuki S.[19]
7-656-3
Riedi L.
Harris L.
7-676-3
Smith C.
Basilashvili N.[13]
7-56-1
Kypson P.
Vukic A.[7]
7-637-64
Landaluce M.
Fery A.
6-26-756-2
Tirante T.[22]
Cazaux A.[1]
7-676-3
Royer V.[12]
Draxl L.[14]
2-66-36-4
Mannarino A.[5]
Svrcina D.[17]
6-36-4
Q1
Shevchenko A.[8]
Zink T.
7-626-786-3
Fery A.
Svajda Z.
7-634-67-64
Svrcina D.[17]
Watanuki Y.
6-26-0
Navone M.[2]
Struff J.
6-726-26-4
Tirante T.[22]
Trotter J.
6-23-66-3
Smith C.
Schoolkate T.[9]
6-46-4
Vukic A.[7]
Cassone M.
7-56-737-64
Mannarino A.[5]
Krueger M.
6-16-1
Draxl L.[14]
Martin A.
6-37-63
Blockx A.[18]
Kachmazov A.
4-2
Cazaux A.[1]
Lajal M.
4-66-16-2
Royer V.[12]
Ficovich J.
6-16-2
Wong C.
Cerundolo J.[3]
6-26-3
Basilashvili N.[13]
Eubanks C.
6-44-67-62
Nardi L.[6]
Mayo A.
6-36-2
Harris L.
Spizzirri E.[20]
7-654-67-62
Tu L.
Duckworth J.[10]
7-646-4
Mochizuki S.[19]
Bagnis F.
3-66-36-4
Nava E.[15]
Kukushkin M.
7-56-2
Galan D.[24]
Daniel T.
7-56-2
Atmane T.[23]
Jasika O.
7-56-4
Kypson P.
Gigante M.[21]
6-36-2
Landaluce M.
Garin C.[16]
6-43-67-65
Riedi L.
Carreno Busta P.[4]
7-636-4