Corentin Moutet vs Mackenzie McdonaldCincinnati Masters Round of 128

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#39ATP
1745ELO
1727Hard ELO
$731kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025
hard
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Moutet C.
7-5 6-3
Mcdonald M.
Moutet C.
762
Mcdonald M.
530

Corentin Moutet defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 7-5 6-3 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Corentin Moutet came in ranked #39, defending last year's round of 64. Corentin Moutet claimed a first win over Mackenzie Mcdonald in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersR128hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Moutet C.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Moutet C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Moutet C.Mcdonald M.
7
Serve
25
68
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
5.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (84 vs 91). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
82
56
Break points saved·Even
97
96
Break points won·Slight edge
75
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
78
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+123 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1604
7.1Overall Elo 1745
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1606
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.1
Surface form
5.6
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
8.2
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.3
Country comfort
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
87

Moutet C.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Mcdonald M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 67%