Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Corentin MoutetShanghai Masters Round of 128

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#39ATP
1745ELO
1727Hard ELO
$731kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLL
Mcdonald M.
6-2 6-3
Moutet C.
Mcdonald M.
662
Moutet C.
230

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Corentin Moutet 6-2 6-3 in the Shanghai Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Corentin Moutet came in ranked #39, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Mackenzie Mcdonald claimed a first win over Corentin Moutet in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersR128hardCorentin Moutet7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Moutet C.

Moutet C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Moutet C.
25
Serve
7
10
Return
68

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.8
2.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 185). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
82
Break points saved·Even
96
97
Break points won·Slight edge
66
75
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
44
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1604
Surface ELO
6.7+123 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
4.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.3
Minutes 14d
7.0
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
94

Mcdonald M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Moutet C.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 51%