Adrian Mannarino vs Tommy PaulCincinnati Masters Round of 32

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#67ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$644kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 7 August 2025 ·
hard
#21ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWW
Mannarino A.
5-7 6-3 6-4
Paul T.
Mannarino A.
5662
Paul T.
7341

Adrian Mannarino defeated Tommy Paul 5-7 6-3 6-4 in the Cincinnati Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #21, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 64. Adrian Mannarino narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersR64hardTommy Paul6-2 2-6 6-4
2024-10-28Paris MastersR64hardAdrian Mannarino6-3 7-5
2022-06-27WimbledonR64grassTommy Paul6-2 6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
6.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (90 vs 79). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
60
90
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
97
Break points won·Clear edge
72
88
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
13
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
82

Mannarino A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Paul T.: 9 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw