Adrian Mannarino vs Tommy Paul — Paris Masters Round of 64

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Adrian Mannarino
FRA
Adrian Mannarino
#40ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 28 October 2024
hard
Tommy Paul
USA11
Tommy Paul
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Mannarino A.
6-3 7-5
Paul T.
Mannarino A.
672
Paul T.
350

Adrian Mannarino defeated Tommy Paul 6-3 7-5 in the Paris Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 32. Adrian Mannarino narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersR64hardTommy Paul6-2 2-6 6-4
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersR32hardAdrian Mannarino5-7 6-3 6-4
2022-06-27WimbledonR64grassTommy Paul6-2 6-4 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Mannarino A.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mannarino A.Paul T.
37
Serve
71
32
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Mannarino A.Paul T.
1st serve in·Even
60%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
55%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
6.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (144 vs 130). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Mannarino A.Paul T.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
65
93
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Clear edge
66
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
72
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mannarino A.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Paul T.
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.1Hard Elo 1647
Surface ELO
7.9+234 Hard Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1673
ELO gap
8.3Overall Elo 1949
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
7.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
5.3
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.2
Country comfort
5.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mannarino A.Paul T.
Freshness·Clear edge
73
86

Mannarino A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
14°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 92%
Final
Zverev A.[3]
Humbert U.[15]
6-26-2
Semi-finals
Humbert U.[15]
Khachanov K.
6-766-46-3
Zverev A.[3]
Rune H.[13]
6-37-64
Quarter-finals
Rune H.[13]
De Minaur A.[9]
6-44-67-5
Khachanov K.
Dimitrov G.[8]
6-26-3
Zverev A.[3]
Tsitsipas S.[10]
7-56-4
Humbert U.[15]
Thompson J.
6-27-64
R16
Humbert U.[15]
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-13-67-5
Rune H.[13]
Cazaux A.
3-66-36-4
De Minaur A.[9]
Draper J.
5-76-26-3
Zverev A.[3]
Fils A.
6-43-66-3
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Cerundolo F.
6-716-46-2
Dimitrov G.[8]
Rinderknech A.
6-24-67-65
Khachanov K.
Popyrin A.
7-656-4
Thompson J.
Mannarino A.
7-57-65
R32
Fils A.
Struff J.
6-36-4
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Tabilo A.
6-36-4
Thompson J.
Ruud C.[7]
7-633-66-4
Rinderknech A.
Michelsen A.
7-667-67
Draper J.
Fritz T.[5]
7-664-66-4
Zverev A.[3]
Griekspoor T.
7-626-3
Cerundolo F.
Rublev A.[6]
7-667-65
Dimitrov G.[8]
Etcheverry T.
6-796-37-5
Khachanov K.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
6-7126-16-4
De Minaur A.[9]
Kecmanovic M.
6-47-65
Mannarino A.
Bergs Z.
3-66-26-4
Humbert U.[15]
Giron M.
6-36-2
Alcaraz C.[2]
Jarry N.
7-56-1
Popyrin A.
Medvedev D.[4]
6-42-67-64
Cazaux A.
Shelton B.
6-37-64
Rune H.[13]
Bublik A.
6-46-2
R64
De Minaur A.[9]
Navone M.
7-56-1
Struff J.
Musetti L.[16]
6-46-2
Etcheverry T.
Zhang Z.
6-37-66
Khachanov K.
Oconnell C.
6-43-67-66
Giron M.
Shang J.
7-667-66
Rinderknech A.
Machac T.
6-735-3
Michelsen A.
Hurkacz H.[12]
6-16-3
Tabilo A.
Borges N.
3-67-656-3
Draper J.
Lehecka J.
7-56-2
Fils A.
Cilic M.
7-656-4
Kecmanovic M.
Baez S.
6-46-767-5
Griekspoor T.
Darderi L.
6-36-4
Bublik A.
Fognini F.
7-57-5
Rune H.[13]
Arnaldi M.
6-46-4
Thompson J.
Martinez P.
6-46-4
Bergs Z.
Gasquet R.
6-36-4
Mannarino A.
Paul T.[11]
6-37-5
Humbert U.[15]
Nakashima B.
6-34-66-4
Jarry N.
Sonego L.
7-646-3
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Tiafoe F.[14]
6-757-646-3
Cerundolo F.
Halys Q.
7-656-3
Shelton B.
Moutet C.
6-36-786-3
Tsitsipas S.[10]
Carballes Baena R.
4-66-36-3
Popyrin A.
Berrettini M.
7-57-62