Alexei Popyrin vs Holger Rune — Canada Masters Round of 16

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Alexei Popyrin
AUS18
Alexei Popyrin
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
Holger Rune
DEN5
Holger Rune
#77ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Popyrin A.
4-6 6-2 6-3
Rune H.
Popyrin A.
4662
Rune H.
6231

Alexei Popyrin defeated Holger Rune 4-6 6-2 6-3 in the Canada Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #77, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16. Alexei Popyrin claimed a first win over Holger Rune in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-08Rome MastersR16clayHolger Rune6-4 5-7 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Popyrin A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Rune H.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Popyrin A.Rune H.
40
Serve
47
11
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Popyrin A.Rune H.
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.8
5.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (54 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Popyrin A.Rune H.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
59
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
6
84
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Popyrin A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Rune H.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1681
Surface ELO
5.9+44 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1757
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.3
Surface form
5.8
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
2.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Popyrin A.Rune H.
Freshness·
97
—

Popyrin A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 55%
Final
Shelton B.[4]
Khachanov K.[11]
6-756-47-63
Semi-finals
Khachanov K.[11]
Zverev A.[1]
6-34-67-64
Shelton B.[4]
Fritz T.[2]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Fritz T.[2]
Rublev A.[6]
6-37-64
Shelton B.[4]
De Minaur A.[9]
6-36-4
Zverev A.[1]
Popyrin A.[18]
6-786-46-3
Khachanov K.[11]
Michelsen A.[26]
6-47-63
R16
Fritz T.[2]
Lehecka J.[19]
7-646-757-65
De Minaur A.[9]
Tiafoe F.[7]
6-24-66-4
Zverev A.[1]
Cerundolo F.[14]
6-41-0
Rublev A.[6]
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
6-737-623-0
Khachanov K.[11]
Ruud C.[8]
6-47-5
Shelton B.[4]
Cobolli F.[13]
6-44-67-61
Michelsen A.[26]
Tien L.
6-36-3
Popyrin A.[18]
Rune H.[5]
4-66-26-3
R32
Cerundolo F.[14]
Etcheverry T.
6-36-4
De Minaur A.
Oconnell C.
W/O
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
Mensik J.[12]
6-26-4
Khachanov K.[11]
Nava E.
6-766-46-1
Rune H.[5]
Muller A.[29]
6-26-4
Michelsen A.[26]
Musetti L.[3]
3-67-646-4
Ruud C.[8]
Borges N.[30]
7-56-4
Tiafoe F.[7]
Vukic A.
6-34-66-3
Popyrin A.[18]
Medvedev D.[10]
5-76-46-4
Rublev A.[6]
Sonego L.[28]
5-76-46-3
Zverev A.[1]
Arnaldi M.[32]
6-756-36-2
Shelton B.[4]
Nakashima B.[25]
6-786-27-65
Tien L.
Opelka R.
7-636-3
Cobolli F.[13]
Marozsan F.
6-24-66-3
Lehecka J.[19]
Fils A.[15]
3-66-36-4
Fritz T.[2]
Diallo G.[27]
6-46-2
R64
Muller A.[29]
Kecmanovic M.
2-66-37-5
Khachanov K.[11]
Ficovich J.
6-46-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
Moutet C.
6-46-3
Michelsen A.[26]
Barrios Vera T.
7-676-3
Vukic A.
Norrie C.[31]
6-36-726-3
Nakashima B.[25]
Quinn E.
7-666-4
Rune H.[5]
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-676-3
Medvedev D.[10]
Svrcina D.
7-636-4
Nava E.
Atmane T.
6-27-5
Marozsan F.
Auger Aliassime F.[21]
6-46-4
Musetti L.[3]
Duckworth J.
7-56-1
Tien L.
Shapovalov D.[22]
7-647-5
Lehecka J.[19]
Mcdonald M.
7-626-4
Fils A.[15]
Carreno Busta P.
6-36-4
Shelton B.[4]
Mannarino A.
6-26-3
Etcheverry T.
Griekspoor T.[24]
6-47-64
Oconnell C.
Tsitsipas S.[23]
6-44-66-2
Popyrin A.[18]
Arseneault N.
7-676-3
Zverev A.[1]
Walton A.
7-666-4
Mensik J.[12]
Boyer T.
6-46-4
Tiafoe F.[7]
Watanuki Y.
1-67-57-65
Cobolli F.[13]
Galarneau A.
6-45-76-4
Fritz T.[2]
Carballes Baena R.
7-57-61
Sonego L.[28]
Yunchaokete B.
6-16-4
De Minaur A.[9]
Comesana F.
6-46-2
Arnaldi M.[32]
Schoolkate T.
6-33-66-3
Ruud C.[8]
Safiullin R.
6-36-3
Diallo G.[27]
Gigante M.
6-37-65
Cerundolo F.[14]
Munar J.
7-644-66-4
Borges N.[30]
Bagnis F.
5-77-636-2
Rublev A.[6]
Gaston H.
6-26-3
Opelka R.
Machac T.[16]
7-656-756-3
R128
Carballes Baena R.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-44-1
Gaston H.
Bellucci M.
3-66-42-0
Ficovich J.
Fearnley J.
6-26-3
Moutet C.
Brooksby J.
6-26-1
Nava E.
Bergs Z.
6-17-64
Yunchaokete B.
Kopriva V.
7-646-2
Galarneau A.
Rinderknech A.
7-626-3
Walton A.
Bonzi B.
4-66-06-3
Etcheverry T.
Herbert P.
6-44-67-5
Munar J.
Martin D.
6-36-0
Bagnis F.
Pospisil V.
6-23-66-3
Opelka R.
Ofner S.
7-667-5
Kecmanovic M.
Halys Q.
4-66-47-5
Barrios Vera T.
Monfils G.
6-44-67-63
Watanuki Y.
Altmaier D.
3-66-16-4
Gigante M.
Coric B.
4-66-27-62
Schoolkate T.
Fonseca J.
7-656-4
Marozsan F.
Dellien H.
6-26-2
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Mochizuki S.
6-46-2
Boyer T.
Kovacevic A.
7-57-63
Mannarino A.
Giron M.
6-46-4
Quinn E.
Nishioka Y.
7-616-2
Safiullin R.
Blanchet U.
4-66-27-69
Carreno Busta P.
Draxl L.
2-66-46-4
Duckworth J.
Shang J.
6-37-63
Comesana F.
Dzumhur D.
6-37-5
Tien L.
Smith C.
6-47-5
Mcdonald M.
Goffin D.
6-46-4
Svrcina D.
Blockx A.
6-46-2
Arseneault N.
Royer V.
6-37-64
Vukic A.
Martinez P.
7-56-3
Oconnell C.
Tseng C.
6-16-2