Holger Rune vs Alexei Popyrin — Rome Masters Round of 16

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Holger Rune
DEN7
Holger Rune
#81ATP
1757ELO
1729Clay ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 May 2023
clay
Alexei Popyrin
AUS
Alexei Popyrin
#103ATP
1741ELO
1727Clay ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Rune H.
6-4 5-7 6-4
Popyrin A.
Rune H.
6562
Popyrin A.
4741

Holger Rune defeated Alexei Popyrin 6-4 5-7 6-4 in the Rome Masters round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Holger Rune came in ranked #81. Holger Rune claimed a first win over Alexei Popyrin in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Holger Rune edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 5–7 6–4.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27Canada MastersR16hardAlexei Popyrin4-6 6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Rune H.Popyrin A.
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Even
64%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.9
9.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 171). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rune H.Popyrin A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
59
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
84
6
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
75
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rune H.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Popyrin A.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+2 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Clay Elo 1727
5.7Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1741
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
4.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
8.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rune H.Popyrin A.
Freshness·
—
98

Popyrin A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%
Final
Medvedev D.[3]
Rune H.[7]
7-57-5
Semi-finals
Medvedev D.[3]
Tsitsipas S.[5]
7-57-5
Rune H.[7]
Ruud C.[4]
6-726-46-2
Quarter-finals
Medvedev D.[3]
Hanfmann Y.
6-26-2
Rune H.[7]
Djokovic N.[1]
6-24-66-2
Ruud C.[4]
Cerundolo F.[24]
7-656-4
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Coric B.[15]
6-36-4
R16
Cerundolo F.[24]
Sinner J.[8]
6-736-26-2
Medvedev D.[3]
Zverev A.[19]
6-27-63
Djokovic N.[1]
Norrie C.[13]
6-36-4
Rune H.[7]
Popyrin A.
6-45-76-4
Ruud C.[4]
Djere L.
6-16-3
Hanfmann Y.
Rublev A.[6]
7-654-66-3
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Musetti L.[18]
7-57-5
Coric B.[15]
Marozsan F.
3-66-46-3
R32
Djere L.
Garin C.
6-32-1
Medvedev D.[3]
Zapata Miralles B.[31]
3-66-16-3
Musetti L.[18]
Tiafoe F.[12]
5-76-46-3
Marozsan F.
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-37-64
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Sonego L.
6-37-63
Coric B.[15]
Carballes Baena R.
7-636-1
Djokovic N.[1]
Dimitrov G.[26]
6-34-66-1
Norrie C.[13]
Fucsovics M.
6-27-64
Popyrin A.
Safiullin R.
7-57-5
Rune H.[7]
Fognini F.
6-46-2
Ruud C.[4]
Bublik A.
6-14-67-60
Cerundolo F.[24]
Barrere G.
6-706-26-2
Sinner J.[8]
Shevchenko A.
6-36-746-2
Rublev A.[6]
Davidovich Fokina A.[27]
7-686-3
Hanfmann Y.
Cecchinato M.
6-44-66-3
Zverev A.[19]
Wolf J.
6-47-5
R64
Barrere G.
Khachanov K.[11]
4-66-47-64
Carballes Baena R.
Evans D.[20]
7-655-76-4
Ruud C.[4]
Rinderknech A.
6-46-0
Hanfmann Y.
Fritz T.[9]
6-46-1
Coric B.[15]
Monteiro T.
4-67-687-65
Davidovich Fokina A.[27]
Pella G.
6-07-64
Djokovic N.[1]
Etcheverry T.
7-656-2
Dimitrov G.[26]
Wawrinka S.
6-47-63
Fucsovics M.
De Minaur A.[17]
6-36-4
Norrie C.[13]
Muller A.
6-26-3
Popyrin A.
Auger Aliassime F.[10]
6-44-67-5
Safiullin R.
Korda S.[22]
6-27-65
Fognini F.
Kecmanovic M.[30]
6-37-66
Rune H.[7]
Fils A.
6-36-3
Bublik A.
Shelton B.[28]
6-41-66-2
Djere L.
Van De Zandschulp B.[23]
6-26-4
Garin C.
Paul T.[16]
4-66-36-4
Cerundolo F.[24]
Wu Y.
4-66-26-3
Sinner J.[8]
Kokkinakis T.
6-16-4
Rublev A.[6]
Molcan A.
6-36-4
Cecchinato M.
Bautista Agut R.[21]
6-26-2
Wolf J.
Hurkacz H.[14]
6-36-4
Zverev A.[19]
Goffin D.
5-76-36-4
Zapata Miralles B.[31]
Kubler J.
6-46-1
Medvedev D.[3]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-46-2
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Borges N.
6-36-3
Sonego L.
Nishioka Y.[25]
7-56-3
Musetti L.[18]
Arnaldi M.
6-46-4
Tiafoe F.[12]
Altmaier D.
3-67-56-3
Marozsan F.
Lehecka J.[32]
4-66-17-64
Alcaraz C.[2]
Ramos A.
6-46-1
Shevchenko A.
Baez S.
6-36-4
R128
Wawrinka S.
Ivashka I.
6-26-4
Kokkinakis T.
Munar J.
4-2
Djere L.
Lestienne C.
6-10-0
Carballes Baena R.
Dellien H.
6-26-3
Ruusuvuori E.
Humbert U.
6-43-67-66
Popyrin A.
Oconnell C.
6-27-65
Etcheverry T.
Van Assche L.
7-676-3
Fucsovics M.
Krajinovic F.
6-46-2
Muller A.
Edmund K.
6-16-3
Safiullin R.
Giron M.
6-46-3
Fognini F.
Murray A.
6-44-66-4
Fils A.
Cerundolo J.
6-11-66-4
Rinderknech A.
Cobolli F.
6-46-3
Bublik A.
Martinez P.
6-37-64
Garin C.
Cachin P.
6-43-67-65
Wu Y.
Gasquet R.
3-66-36-3
Baez S.
Varillas J.
7-56-3
Molcan A.
Napolitano S.
6-43-67-61
Pella G.
Cressy M.
6-36-4
Cecchinato M.
Mcdonald M.
6-37-5
Hanfmann Y.
Jarry N.
6-46-4
Wolf J.
Grenier H.
7-57-5
Goffin D.
Nardi L.
3-66-46-2
Kubler J.
Huesler M.
6-766-46-2
Borges N.
Lajovic D.
6-46-1
Sonego L.
Chardy J.
6-26-1
Altmaier D.
Zeppieri G.
7-634-66-0
Monteiro T.
Mannarino A.
6-16-2
Marozsan F.
Moutet C.
6-06-786-2
Ramos A.
Passaro F.
4-66-16-4
Barrere G.
Nakashima B.
6-36-3
Arnaldi M.
Schwartzman D.
6-14-66-3