Naomi Osaka vs Elina SvitolinaMontreal Quarter-final

Montreal · WTA · Quarter-final
#14WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#8WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Osaka N.
6-2 6-2
Svitolina E.
Osaka N.
662
Svitolina E.
220

Naomi Osaka defeated Elina Svitolina 6-2 6-2 in the Montreal quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elina Svitolina came in ranked #8. Naomi Osaka extended the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

43
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-18MiamiR64hardNaomi Osaka6-2 7-6(5)
2019-01-14Australian OpenQFhardNaomi Osaka6-4 6-1
2018-03-19MiamiR64hardElina Svitolina6-4 6-2
2018-02-19DubaiQFhardElina Svitolina6-2 6-4
2016-09-19TokyoSFhardNaomi Osaka1-6 6-3 6-2
2016-01-18Australian OpenR64hardNaomi Osaka6-4 6-4
2014-10-06OsakaR16hardElina Svitolina3-6 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Osaka N.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Svitolina E.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Osaka N.Svitolina E.
70
Serve
48
60
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
59%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.2
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (51 vs 69). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
89
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Even
97
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
95
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1922
Surface ELO
5.9+76 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 2070
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.9
Surface form
6.9
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
98

Osaka N.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Svitolina E.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw