Naomi Osaka vs Elina SvitolinaTokyo Semi-final

Tokyo · WTA · Semi-final
#13WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 September 2016
hard
#10WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.4MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Osaka N.
1-6 6-3 6-2
Svitolina E.
Osaka N.
1662
Svitolina E.
6321

Naomi Osaka defeated Elina Svitolina 1-6 6-3 6-2 in the Tokyo semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Elina Svitolina came in ranked #10, defending last year's round of 16. Naomi Osaka extended the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

43
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27MontrealQFhardNaomi Osaka6-2 6-2
2024-03-18MiamiR64hardNaomi Osaka6-2 7-6(5)
2019-01-14Australian OpenQFhardNaomi Osaka6-4 6-1
2018-03-19MiamiR64hardElina Svitolina6-4 6-2
2018-02-19DubaiQFhardElina Svitolina6-2 6-4
2016-01-18Australian OpenR64hardNaomi Osaka6-4 6-4
2014-10-06OsakaR16hardElina Svitolina3-6 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Osaka N.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Svitolina E.

Svitolina E.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Osaka N.Svitolina E.
70
Serve
48
60
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
59%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.7
3.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (196 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
89
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Even
97
99
Deciding sets·Even
99
99
Tiebreaks·Even
95
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
98

Osaka N.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Svitolina E.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 89%