Dayana Yastremska vs Emma NavarroMontreal Round of 32

Montreal · WTA · Round of 32
#67WTA
1792ELO
1733Hard ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#26WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$675kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
Yastremska D.
7-5 6-4
Navarro E.
Yastremska D.
762
Navarro E.
540

Dayana Yastremska defeated Emma Navarro 7-5 6-4 in the Montreal round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Emma Navarro came in ranked #26, but Dayana Yastremska had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Dayana Yastremska extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-15Australian OpenR32hardDayana Yastremska6-2 2-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Yastremska D.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Navarro E.

Navarro E.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Yastremska D.Navarro E.
11
Serve
43
25
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.9
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 66). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
90
Break points saved·Even
89
88
Break points won·Slight edge
92
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
63
93
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1Hard Elo 1733
Surface ELO
4.9+31 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1792
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1866
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.7
Surface form
5.2
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
8.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
86

Yastremska D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Navarro E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw