Karen Khachanov vs Alex MichelsenCanada Masters Quarter-final

Canada Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#22ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
Khachanov K.
6-4 7-6
Michelsen A.
Khachanov K.
6772
Michelsen A.
4630

Karen Khachanov defeated Alex Michelsen 6-4 7-6 in the Canada Masters quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #22, defending last year's round of 32. Karen Khachanov extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR128hardKaren Khachanov4-6 6-4 6-3 5-7 6-3
2025-01-13Australian OpenR32hardAlex Michelsen6-3 7-6(5) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Khachanov K.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Michelsen A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Khachanov K.Michelsen A.
61
Serve
34
39
Return
46

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.4
5.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 76). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
78
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Dominant
81
46
Deciding sets·Slight edge
83
91
Tiebreaks·Even
92
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1783
Surface ELO
5.3+27 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1825
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.4
Surface form
3.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.0
2.0
Prev. match
8.0
7.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
77
67

Khachanov K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 48 games (7d) · Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 55%