Alex Michelsen vs Karen KhachanovAustralian Open Round of 32

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 32
#46ATP
1825ELO
1810Hard ELO
$785kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLW
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 13 January 2025
hard
#22ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
Michelsen A.
6-3 7-6 6-2
Khachanov K.
Michelsen A.
67763
Khachanov K.
36520

Alex Michelsen defeated Karen Khachanov 6-3 7-6 6-2 in the Australian Open round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16. Alex Michelsen claimed a first win over Karen Khachanov in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex Michelsen closed it out in three sets, 6–3 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR128hardKaren Khachanov4-6 6-4 6-3 5-7 6-3
2025-07-27Canada MastersQFhardKaren Khachanov6-4 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Michelsen A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Khachanov K.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Michelsen A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Michelsen A.Khachanov K.
34
Serve
61
46
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.3
7.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (76 vs 71). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
86
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Dominant
46
81
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
83
Tiebreaks·Even
95
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+27 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1783
4.9Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1828
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
6.6
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.7
Minutes 14d
8.7
0.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
6.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
61
80

Michelsen A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 78 games (7d) · Khachanov K.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%
R128
Faria J.
Kotov P.
6-16-17-5
Davidovich Fokina A.
Shang J.
7-615-2
Passaro F.
Dimitrov G.[10]
7-52-1
Martinez P.
Darderi L.
6-34-1
Halys Q.
Walton A.
4-64-66-47-647-5
Nishioka Y.
Dougaz A.
3-66-47-636-3
Khachanov K.[19]
Mannarino A.
7-656-36-3
Altmaier D.
Comesana F.
6-23-67-644-66-4
Fils A.[20]
Virtanen O.
3-67-646-46-4
De Minaur A.[8]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-17-56-4
Hurkacz H.[18]
Griekspoor T.
7-56-46-4
Fritz T.[4]
Brooksby J.
6-26-06-3
Lehecka J.[24]
Tu L.
6-13-66-37-61
Fearnley J.
Kyrgios N.
7-636-37-62
Shelton B.[21]
Nakashima B.
7-637-57-5
Carballes Baena R.
Tabilo A.[23]
1-66-26-37-61
Thompson J.[27]
Koepfer D.
7-636-44-66-3
Kokkinakis T.
Safiullin R.
3-66-36-37-65
Rune H.[13]
Zhang Z.
4-66-36-43-66-4
Machac T.[26]
Nagal S.
6-36-17-5
Borges N.
Muller A.
6-726-36-27-5
Giron M.
Hanfmann Y.
2-67-56-17-5
Mensik J.
Basilashvili N.
6-16-736-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
Lajovic D.
7-53-66-33-66-3
Nishikori K.
Monteiro T.
4-66-747-56-26-3
Shapovalov D.
Bautista Agut R.
3-66-46-47-68
Cerundolo F.[31]
Bublik A.
7-616-36-2
Michelsen A.
Tsitsipas S.[11]
7-56-32-66-4
Paul T.[12]
Oconnell C.
6-23-66-16-757-5
Marozsan F.
Seyboth Wild T.
6-36-757-55-77-5
Draper J.[15]
Navone M.
4-66-33-66-36-2
Musetti L.[16]
Arnaldi M.
7-644-67-656-3
Duckworth J.
Stricker D.
6-26-46-2
Korda S.[22]
Klein L.
6-30-66-37-66
Vukic A.
Dzumhur D.
6-736-03-66-36-4
Medvedev D.[5]
Samrej K.
6-24-63-66-16-2
Zverev A.[2]
Pouille L.
6-46-46-4
Garin C.
Coric B.
7-56-16-2
Carreno Busta P.
Majchrzak K.
6-46-46-3
Habib H.
Yunchaokete B.
7-646-47-66
Diaz Acosta F.
Bergs Z.
6-756-41-66-36-4
Opelka R.
Onclin G.
3-67-646-36-2
Monfils G.
Mpetshi Perricard G.[30]
7-676-36-766-756-4
Berrettini M.
Norrie C.
6-746-46-16-3
Bonzi B.
Goffin D.
6-16-27-67
Fonseca J.
Rublev A.[9]
7-616-37-65
Djokovic N.[7]
Basavareddy N.
4-66-36-46-2
Cazaux A.
Baez S.[28]
6-35-73-66-06-3
Sinner J.[1]
Jarry N.
7-627-656-1
Boyer T.
Coria F.
6-36-734-67-56-1
Gaston H.
Jasika O.
6-23-66-26-2
Mccabe J.
Landaluce M.
6-46-36-4
Moutet C.
Popyrin A.[25]
4-66-36-46-4
Tien L.
Ugo Carabelli C.
4-67-636-35-76-4
Sonego L.
Wawrinka S.
6-45-77-57-5
Auger Aliassime F.[29]
Struff J.
6-36-04-66-1
Alcaraz C.[3]
Shevchenko A.
6-17-56-1
Diallo G.
Nardi L.
6-717-635-76-16-2
Schoolkate T.
Daniel T.
6-767-646-16-4
Ruud C.[6]
Munar J.
6-31-67-52-66-1
Tiafoe F.[17]
Rinderknech A.
7-626-34-66-746-3
Etcheverry T.
Cobolli F.[32]
6-786-37-56-1
Krueger M.
Hijikata R.
6-46-46-3
Humbert U.[14]
Gigante M.
7-657-56-4