Karolina Muchova vs Belinda BencicMontreal Round of 32

Montreal · WTA · Round of 32
#6WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#14WTA
1989ELO
1952Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
Muchova K.
6-7 6-2 6-3
Bencic B.
Muchova K.
62662
Bencic B.
77231

Karolina Muchova defeated Belinda Bencic 6-7 6-2 6-3 in the Montreal round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #6. Karolina Muchova narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-20TokyoQFhardBelinda Bencic3-6 7-5 7-5
2023-02-20DubaiR16hardKarolina Muchova6-1 6-4
2022-04-28MadridR32clayBelinda Bencic6-3 4-6 7-5
2021-08-16CincinnatiR16hardBelinda Bencic7-5 2-1 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Bencic B.

Bencic B.serving80% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muchova K.Bencic B.
70
Serve
57
44
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (61 vs 68). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
95
88
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Even
94
94
Deciding sets·Even
98
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
6.1+82 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1952
6.2Overall Elo 2066
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1989
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.7
Surface form
7.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
56
85

Muchova K.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 80 games (7d) · Bencic B.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CDrizzle
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw