Alexander Bublik vs Alexander ShevchenkoKitzbuhel Quarter-final

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Quarter-final
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 July 2025
clay
1669ELO
1624Clay ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLLW
Bublik A.
6-4 6-2
Shevchenko A.
Bublik A.
662
Shevchenko A.
420

Alexander Bublik defeated Alexander Shevchenko 6-4 6-2 in the Kitzbuhel quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in leading the head-to-head 2–0. Alexander Bublik extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-14GstaadR16clayAlexander Bublik6-2 6-3
2024-01-29MontpellierQFhardAlexander Bublik4-6 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Shevchenko A.

Shevchenko A.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve advantage — Bublik A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Bublik A.Shevchenko A.
55
Serve
4
51
Return
47

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.9
5.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 92). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
77
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
92
Break points won·Slight edge
67
60
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
87
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+198 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Clay Elo 1624
8.0Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1669
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.7
Surface form
6.1
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
8.7
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
70
98

Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Shevchenko A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
18°CRain
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 96%