Alexander Bublik vs Alexander ShevchenkoMontpellier Quarter-final

Montpellier · ATP · Quarter-final
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 29 January 2024
hard
1669ELO
1642Hard ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLLW
Bublik A.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Shevchenko A.
Bublik A.
4662
Shevchenko A.
6341

Alexander Bublik defeated Alexander Shevchenko 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Montpellier quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Alexander Bublik extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21KitzbuhelQFclayAlexander Bublik6-4 6-2
2025-07-14GstaadR16clayAlexander Bublik6-2 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Shevchenko A.

Shevchenko A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Shevchenko A.
65
Serve
27
25
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.1
5.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (140 vs 151). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
77
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
92
Break points won·Slight edge
67
60
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
87
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
96
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+194 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1642
8.0Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1669
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
5.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
8.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.3
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
66
97

Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d) · Shevchenko A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
12°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 86%