Taylor Fritz vs Matteo ArnaldiWashington Round of 16

Washington · ATP · Round of 16
#7ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 July 2025
hard
#35ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Fritz T.
6-3 6-4
Arnaldi M.
Fritz T.
662
Arnaldi M.
340

Taylor Fritz defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-3 6-4 in the Washington round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Taylor Fritz came in ranked #7. Taylor Fritz claimed a first win over Matteo Arnaldi in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Taylor Fritz closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-26AcapulcoR32hardMatteo Arnaldi6-4 4-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Fritz T.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fritz T.Arnaldi M.
76
Serve
23
32
Return
22

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
61%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.8
5.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 60). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
78
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Slight edge
60
51
Deciding sets·Clear edge
98
86
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+106 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Hard Elo 1732
8.1Overall Elo 1909
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1830
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.4
Surface form
6.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Prev. match
6.0
7.6
Country comfort
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
63
94

Fritz T.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 0 km/hHumidity 65%