Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor FritzAcapulco Round of 32

Acapulco · ATP · Round of 32
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 26 February 2024
hard
#10ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Arnaldi M.
6-4 4-6 6-3
Fritz T.
Arnaldi M.
6462
Fritz T.
4631

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Taylor Fritz 6-4 4-6 6-3 in the Acapulco round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Taylor Fritz came in ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's semi-final. Matteo Arnaldi claimed a first win over Taylor Fritz in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Matteo Arnaldi closed it out in three sets, 6–4 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21WashingtonR16hardTaylor Fritz6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Arnaldi M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arnaldi M.Fritz T.
23
Serve
76
22
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
79%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
70%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.4
11.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (117 vs 168). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
87
Break points saved·Even
97
100
Break points won·Slight edge
51
60
Deciding sets·Clear edge
86
98
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
8.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 1732
Surface ELO
8.0+106 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1830
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1909
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
9.3
0.0
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.6
Minutes 14d
6.3
0.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
72

Arnaldi M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Fritz T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 61%