Denis Shapovalov vs Adam WaltonLos Cabos Semi-final

Los Cabos · ATP · Semi-final
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 July 2025
hard
#85ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWWWL
Shapovalov D.
6-2 6-2
Walton A.
Shapovalov D.
662
Walton A.
220

Denis Shapovalov defeated Adam Walton 6-2 6-2 in the Los Cabos semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #41, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Denis Shapovalov extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersR64hardDenis Shapovalov6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Walton A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Walton A.
25
Serve
35
70
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Even
59%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.7
6.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 108). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
85
66
Break points saved·Even
99
95
Break points won·Dominant
71
20
Deciding sets·Even
92
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
84
73

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+106 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1669
6.7Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
3.3Overall Elo 1703
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.3
Surface form
5.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
7.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
0.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
98
57

Shapovalov D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Walton A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast